Monovar A vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monovar A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GUS
2 - 0
MON
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
HOR
74%
15%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
COC
2 - 2
MON
7%
13%
79%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ALT
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 2
UEC
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUS
7 - 1
BIG
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BIG
1 - 5
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COC
0 - 2
BIG
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BIG
1 - 5
ALT
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |