Monopoli vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
FCC
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
CAT
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JUS
2 - 1
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TRA
21%
25%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 2
REN
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
REG
0 - 1
FRA
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 2
FRA
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 2
CAS
27%
28%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |