Monopoli vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SSE
1 - 1
MON
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
HYR
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
MON
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
REA
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
SSS
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BRI
3 - 0
SAR
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
LUP
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SOR
1 - 1
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 1
ARZ
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |