Monopoli vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 1
MON
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MON
2 - 0
POT
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ASA
0 - 0
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MON
3 - 1
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
REA
4 - 2
SSC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 2
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
REA
1 - 0
FCC
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
NOC
2 - 1
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
REA
2 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |