Monopoli vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
TAR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
USV
1 - 1
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 2
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAG
81%
15%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 1
FIA
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PAG
2 - 1
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |