Monopoli vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
AVE
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 1
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 0
MON
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
BIS
77%
17%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 0
PAG
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
CAT
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
FCC
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
PAG
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BIS
2 - 2
PAG
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |