Monopoli vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TRA
21%
25%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 0
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MON
4 - 2
ASF
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 4
FCC
24%
26%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 1
PAG
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 3
JUS
19%
25%
56%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
PAG
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 4
REN
36%
27%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |