Monopoli vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
REG
1 - 2
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
5 - 0
CAT
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
FIA
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
3 - 0
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
FIA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TRA
4 - 1
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAG
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |