Monopoli vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
REG
0 - 0
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SIR
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 1
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
BAR
13%
21%
67%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
FIA
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |