Monopoli vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 3
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
3 - 2
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 2
MON
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 1
POM
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 2
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 0
NAR
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAR
4 - 1
CAM
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 1
NAR
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |