Monopoli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 2
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
TER
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
REG
0 - 2
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
RIE
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 6
VNZ
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOD
4 - 2
SPA
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCS
37%
29%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RIM
2 - 0
MOD
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
SSS
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |