Monopoli vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 2
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
RPO
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
MON
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 2
MON
60%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 4
TER
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PAG
4 - 4
MES
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JUS
2 - 3
MES
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 3
MES
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
MES
3 - 0
MDR
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |