Monopoli vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 3
MON
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
SIC
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BIS
0 - 1
MON
31%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
FRA
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
FCC
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
0 - 2
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 0
MAT
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
MAT
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |