Monopoli vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MON
5 - 0
POT
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PUT
1 - 1
MON
32%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 3
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
POM
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 1
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 0
CAM
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
MAT
37%
25%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |