Monopoli vs Grottaglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SAR
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SSE
1 - 1
MON
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
ARZ
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
HYR
76%
17%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Grottaglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 0
SSS
36%
27%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BRI
3 - 3
GRO
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 4
BIS
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
5 - 1
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
TUR
15%
22%
63%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |