Monopoli vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MON
2 - 2
ASA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
COS
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
REA
2 - 0
MON
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MON
0 - 0
FCC
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
REA
1 - 1
GEL
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 3
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GEL
1 - 0
FCI
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VIG
2 - 0
GEL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
GEL
0 - 1
POT
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |