Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Monopoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
CES
0 - 3
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
47%
28%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PIC
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
FIA
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USV
0 - 3
FCC
13%
25%
62%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 0
CAM
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
USF
2 - 6
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
MON
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
JUS
1 - 1
FCC
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |