Monopoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
CAT
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JUS
2 - 1
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TRA
21%
25%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 3
JUS
31%
27%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 4
FCC
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 1
REN
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCC
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
FCC
2 - 0
USV
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |