Monopoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
REG
1 - 2
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
5 - 0
CAT
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 1
FRA
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FIA
2 - 1
FCC
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 2
TRA
11%
22%
68%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 1
REN
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |