Monopoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
USF
4 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 2
MON
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
FON
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
ASM
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
TAR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AKR
0 - 0
FCC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |