Monopoli vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
5 - 0
CAT
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
FIA
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
SIC
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
NUO
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
TRA
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AKR
1 - 1
CAS
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
FIA
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |