Monopoli vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ISC
1 - 2
MON
33%
28%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
NUO
28%
28%
43%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
USF
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
LEC
14%
23%
63%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
USF
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
1 - 2
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
AKR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
22%
25%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
6 - 0
CAS
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |