Monopoli vs Real Metapontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 1
MON
67%
22%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 1
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
MAT
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GEL
3 - 2
MON
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
MAT
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 0
ARM
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
GLA
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 2
ARM
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
PUT
36%
26%
39%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |