Monopoli vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 6
NUO
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
USV
2 - 2
MON
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 1
USV
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
ASM
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 0
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |