Monopoli vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 0
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
GEL
37%
28%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
USV
0 - 1
MON
34%
27%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
ACI
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
JUS
3 - 0
MON
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ASM
2 - 0
SSC
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SIR
2 - 0
ASM
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASM
3 - 2
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RAA
0 - 2
ASM
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ASM
3 - 0
SSB
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |