Monopoli vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASA
2 - 1
MON
37%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
GEL
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PES
0 - 0
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
TUR
2 - 2
MON
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MON
1 - 3
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 1
USV
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASM
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ASM
1 - 2
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 0
ASM
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 3
REA
36%
28%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |