Monmouth vs Torch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
FST
1 - 2
MON
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 1
MON
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
WCU
4 - 0
MON
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
MON
2 - 4
ATC
35%
22%
44%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MON
2 - 3
FCM
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Torch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
ECS
62%
18%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
NJC
1 - 3
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
4 - 3
ECS
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 2
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
JLS
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | +4 |