Monmouth vs Hershey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ATC
30%
22%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FCM
3 - 0
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
ATC
2 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hershey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
ECS
1 - 1
HER
47%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
WCU
4 - 0
HER
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |