Monforte vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+133%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ONI
6 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
MON
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
ESI
52%
21%
28%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
MON
45%
21%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
BIA
66%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PET
3 - 2
ESI
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
PET
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
RAY
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PET
4 - 3
PEA
66%
17%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BNY
0 - 3
PET
29%
21%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |