Monforte vs Sp. Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POB
1 - 0
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
MON
32%
23%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
IDE
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
MUR
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sp. Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
CHE
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 2
UDC
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
AGU
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IDE
1 - 1
SPO
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |