Monforte vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MON
6 - 1
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CUI
4 - 2
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
SVN
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
BIA
50%
21%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PET
3 - 2
MON
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NUC
1 - 1
CUI
25%
20%
55%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NUC
7 - 1
BIA
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEA
1 - 2
NUC
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NUC
2 - 0
COC
83%
11%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
NUC
41%
21%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |