Monforte vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 1
MON
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MON
0 - 4
ATH
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
5 - 0
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BAH
8 - 0
MON
83%
11%
5%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 3
BFL
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAH
4 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
8%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
MON
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALT
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
SPO
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |