Monforte vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NUC
1 - 3
MON
33%
19%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
PEA
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ELC
5 - 2
MON
42%
20%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
ATL
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
ASP
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
RAY
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 6
CAS
20%
19%
60%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
NOV
55%
21%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CCT
2 - 1
CAS
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
BNY
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |