Monesterio vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 0
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
BIE
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MON
8 - 2
OLV
61%
18%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ACE
3 - 0
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
EME
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 1
ACE
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EME
3 - 3
UDF
80%
13%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 2
CAT
20%
19%
61%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
3 - 2
BIE
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |