Monesterio vs Emérita Augusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monesterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CFS
1 - 1
MON
27%
24%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
PUE
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VER
5 - 1
MON
26%
24%
51%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
EME
4 - 1
CFS
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 0
EME
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
EME
2 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |