Moneni Pirates vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moneni Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
MON
55%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 2
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MBA
4 - 1
ROY
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MBA
3 - 2
HIG
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
YOU
0 - 1
MBA
35%
25%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ROY
3 - 1
MBA
44%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
MBA
35%
25%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |