Moneni Pirates vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moneni Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MON
1 - 2
MHL
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
IFC
0 - 2
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
HIG
2 - 0
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
5 - 1
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 3
MBA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
MBA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MBA
4 - 0
IFC
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
HUB
0 - 3
MBA
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MBA
2 - 4
MHL
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |