Monells AE vs Begur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monells AE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 1
MON
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
LLA
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
MAR
28%
23%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 0
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BEG
3 - 2
FOR
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
6 - 0
BEG
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEG
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BEG
5 - 1
CAB
43%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIS
5 - 2
BEG
52%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |