Monchiquense vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
75.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monchiquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 0
MON
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
FAB
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 4
ALM
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 0
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |