Moncarapachense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
8º
7º
5
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
77%
16%
8%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
20%
24%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
LUS
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VST
2 - 1
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |