Moncarapachense vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
12º
12º
34
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMO
6 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
ACA
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 1
AMO
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 2
GDF
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
SCP
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
SCP
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |