Moncarapachense vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EDL
3 - 3
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
MOU
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
JUV
50%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VST
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
OLH
2 - 0
JUV
83%
11%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VST
2 - 2
OLH
75%
18%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
OLH
2 - 0
ALJ
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 0
OLH
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
OLH
0 - 2
AMO
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |