Moncarapachense vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
3 - 0
MON
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
LOU
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 4
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 1
MON
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
OLH
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOU
3 - 1
OLH
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OLH
1 - 1
ORI
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
OPE
0 - 1
OLH
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OLH
2 - 0
LUS
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |