Moncarapachense vs Pinhalnovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLH
1 - 0
MON
88%
8%
4%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOU
1 - 3
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
LOU
15%
20%
65%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
EDL
25%
21%
55%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 2
MON
62%
19%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PIN
1 - 1
JUV
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 1
PIN
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PIN
3 - 1
ALJ
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
VST
2 - 1
PIN
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
5 - 0
PIN
47%
25%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |