Moncarapachense vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 0
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
0 - 0
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
ARM
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OPE
2 - 4
FEL
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 3
MOU
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
OLH
1 - 0
OPE
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SCG
2 - 3
OPE
13%
17%
71%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 3
OPE
39%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |