Moncarapachense vs 11 Esperanças analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
FAR
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MEG
1 - 8
MON
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
IMO
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 3
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
SIL
87%
9%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
11 Esperanças
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ARM
2 - 3
ESP
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
LAG
16%
20%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
4 - 1
ESP
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
MEG
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |