Moncarapachense vs O Elvas analysis


40	ELO	63
-5.5%	Tilt	-10%
4910º	General ELO ranking	1449º
88º	Country ELO ranking	30º
ELO win probability

15.3%

Moncarapachense

21.1%

Draw

63.6%

O Elvas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

15.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%

21.1%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

10%

2-2

4.1%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

21.1%

63.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-3%

-12%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

49

1º

8º

2º

39

5º

12º

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

6º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	53	53	1º	100%
2º	49	49	2º	100%
3º	46	46	3º	100%
4º	41	41	4º	100%
5º	40	40	5º	100%
6º	39	39	6º	100%
7º	39	39	7º	100%
8º	34	34	8º	100%
9º	34	34	9º	100%
10º	32	32	10º	100%
11º	30	30	11º	100%
12º	29	29	12º	100%
13º	14	14	13º	100%
14º	13	13	14º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	100%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Moncarapachense

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
01 Oct. 2023	REA 0 - 2 MON 42% 24% 34%	38	36	2	0
24 Sep. 2023	MON 6 - 2 UMI 72% 17% 11%	37	10	27	+1
17 Sep. 2023	MON 2 - 1 LOU 19% 25% 56%	35	47	12	+2
03 Sep. 2023	VST 1 - 2 MON 75% 17% 9%	34	45	11	+1
27 Aug. 2023	MON 1 - 0 FAB 26% 23% 50%	31	40	9	+3

Matches

O Elvas

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
01 Oct. 2023	OEL 0 - 1 FCB 77% 16% 7%	64	33	31
23 Sep. 2023	OEL 1 - 0 LAN 83% 12% 5%	64	15	49
17 Sep. 2023	REA 3 - 2 OEL 13% 20% 67%	64	34	30
03 Sep. 2023	OEL 1 - 1 SIN 74% 18% 9%	64	44	20
27 Aug. 2023	LOU 1 - 1 OEL 17% 22% 61%	64	45	19