Moncarapachense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
IDE
0 - 1
MON
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
3 - 3
EVN
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
MON
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
PIN
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLH
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 0
LUS
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 0
LUS
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
5 - 2
LUS
51%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |