Moncarapachense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
MON
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
OGR
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SIN
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MON
5 - 2
CIN
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCB
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
EDL
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
LOU
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EVN
0 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |