Moncarapachense vs GD Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
6º
4º
30
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LOU
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
MON
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
OGR
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
SIN
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
MON
63%
21%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
COI
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 2
EVN
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
LAG
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 2
LAG
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |